Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern Miss
Conference USA
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.2#59
Expected Predictive Rating+8.4#57
Pace65.4#221
Improvement+1.9#94

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#48
Improvement+4.9#21

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#100
Improvement-3.0#310
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 24.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 24.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four23.6% n/a n/a
First Round11.4% n/a n/a
Second Round3.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2012 183   Western Kentucky W 67-64 OT 87%     1 - 0 -1.2 -22.3 +20.5
  Nov 15, 2012 101   @ Georgia W 62-60 OT 52%     2 - 0 +9.8 -2.1 +12.0
  Nov 19, 2012 235   @ Sam Houston St. W 61-49 81%     3 - 0 +11.0 +1.3 +11.7
  Nov 20, 2012 135   UC Irvine W 69-65 72%     4 - 0 +6.2 +17.8 -10.5
  Nov 21, 2012 269   Liberty W 74-56 91%     5 - 0 +11.7 +1.6 +11.4
  Nov 27, 2012 54   Denver W 61-50 59%     6 - 0 +17.0 -1.1 +19.7
  Dec 01, 2012 87   @ New Mexico St. L 60-68 48%     6 - 1 +0.9 -2.5 +2.7
  Dec 04, 2012 18   @ Arizona L 55-63 21%     6 - 2 +8.8 -11.8 +20.8
  Dec 08, 2012 86   @ Louisiana Tech L 55-65 48%     6 - 3 -1.1 -13.3 +12.9
  Dec 15, 2012 347   Grambling St. W 93-45 99.9%    7 - 3 +12.9 +7.2 +7.1
  Dec 18, 2012 191   @ Georgia St. W 69-67 73%     8 - 3 +4.0 +5.2 -0.9
  Dec 22, 2012 34   Wichita St. L 51-59 37%     8 - 4 +3.6 -13.5 +16.8
  Dec 28, 2012 230   @ Morehead St. W 94-58 80%     9 - 4 +35.3 +17.3 +16.6
  Jan 09, 2013 321   @ Rice W 75-52 92%     10 - 4 1 - 0 +15.4 +7.3 +11.3
  Jan 12, 2013 180   Houston W 73-54 87%     11 - 4 2 - 0 +15.0 -8.1 +22.6
  Jan 16, 2013 181   @ SMU W 74-70 72%     12 - 4 3 - 0 +6.3 +14.0 -7.1
  Jan 19, 2013 167   UAB W 74-59 86%     13 - 4 4 - 0 +11.7 +0.6 +11.1
  Jan 23, 2013 224   Marshall W 102-46 91%     14 - 4 5 - 0 +49.2 +14.3 +29.1
  Jan 26, 2013 175   @ Tulsa W 62-59 70%     15 - 4 6 - 0 +5.7 -4.0 +9.9
  Feb 02, 2013 167   @ UAB W 79-75 69%     16 - 4 7 - 0 +7.2 +18.8 -11.1
  Feb 06, 2013 134   @ Central Florida L 58-60 61%     16 - 5 7 - 1 +3.5 -7.4 +10.7
  Feb 09, 2013 33   Memphis L 76-89 49%     16 - 6 7 - 2 -4.6 +6.1 -10.2
  Feb 13, 2013 156   Tulane W 71-60 85%     17 - 6 8 - 2 +8.4 +1.9 +7.6
  Feb 16, 2013 158   @ East Carolina W 86-82 OT 67%     18 - 6 9 - 2 +7.8 +6.3 +1.2
  Feb 20, 2013 110   UTEP W 45-39 76%     19 - 6 10 - 2 +6.7 -15.8 +23.9
  Feb 23, 2013 33   @ Memphis L 73-89 26%     19 - 7 10 - 3 -1.1 +4.0 -4.0
  Mar 02, 2013 158   East Carolina W 88-69 85%     20 - 7 11 - 3 +16.3 +11.2 +5.3
  Mar 05, 2013 224   @ Marshall L 84-88 79%     20 - 8 11 - 4 -4.3 +5.5 -9.6
  Mar 09, 2013 134   Central Florida W 70-62 81%     21 - 8 12 - 4 +7.0 -1.4 +8.7
  Mar 14, 2013 167   UAB W 81-66 78%     22 - 8 +15.0 +9.4 +5.6
  Mar 15, 2013 110   UTEP W 85-67 66%     23 - 8 +21.9 +28.5 -3.8
  Mar 16, 2013 33   Memphis L 79-91 2OT 37%     23 - 9 -0.4 -0.3 +2.0
Projected Record 23.0 - 9.0 12.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 24.2% 24.2% 12.1 0.0 0.7 20.7 2.7 0.0 75.8 24.2%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 24.2% 0.0% 24.2% 12.1 0.0 0.7 20.7 2.7 0.0 75.8 24.2%